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Address by President Cyril Ramaphosa at the 2025 Policing Summit, Emperor's Palace, Ekurhuleni
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Programme Director,
Minister of Police, Mr Senzo Mchunu,
Premier of Gauteng, Mr Panyaza Lesufi,
Ministers and Deputy Ministers,
Chairperson of the Parliamentary Portfolio Committee on Police, Mr Ian Cameron, 
National Police Commissioner, General Fannie Masemola,
Deputy National Commissioners, Provincial and Divisional Commissioners,
Senior Officers,
Representatives of Municipalities and Municipal Police Departments,
Chairperson of the National Community Police Consultative Forum, Ms Francina Lucas,
Representatives of Community Policing Forums,
Representatives of POPCRU and SAPU,
Representatives of civil society,
Guests,
Ladies and gentlemen, 
 
Allow me to congratulate the Ministry of Police for convening this critical Summit.
 
Safeguarding our nation’s safety and security requires that we are proactive, innovative and solutions-oriented in our approach. 
 
As a frontline service, the Police interface with our communities daily. 
 
As such, the police need to be guided by the Batho Pele principles of high service standards, consultation, equal access to services, and treating citizens with respect, dignity and empathy. 
 
The SAPS mission is to investigate and prevent crime and ensure that offenders are brought to justice; to counter threats to community safety and security; and importantly, to participate in efforts to address the root causes of crime. 
 
Crime is both a cause and a symptom. 
 
It is a cause of insecurity and instability in communities. It weakens the social fabric. 
 
Crime has a direct impact on the economy. It discourages investment, disrupts business activity and leads to increased security costs for companies. 
 
Crime is also a symptom of wider problems in a society. 
 
Poverty and inequality, unemployment, lack of opportunity, patriarchy and misogyny, and broken family structures are just some of the issues that contribute to crime and criminality. 
 
Addressing crime without understanding its root causes is like a doctor treating a patient for a fever without diagnosing the underlying illness. 
 
It is therefore encouraging that this Summit has as one of its key objectives adopting a more holistic approach to law-enforcement, encompassing not just the police but the entire policing system. 
 
It is also encouraging that this Summit brings together stakeholders from the safety and security establishment, communities and civil society, business, the interfaith sector, labour and other sectors. 
 
Just as crime is an all-of-society problem, overcoming crime must be an all-of-society effort.
 
In doing so, we must marshall our full support behind the hardworking men and women of the South African Police Service. 
 
The policing terrain of today is complex and multi-faceted. 
 
The Police strive to fulfil their mandate in the context of emerging threats. 
 
These threats include transnational organised crime, illegal mining, extortion syndicates, the theft of economic infrastructure, money laundering and terror financing. 
 
And yet, even in this extremely challenging environment, the South African Police Service continues to register successes in fighting crime in its various operations. 
 
To build on these successes, we need to restore public trust and faith in the Police. 
 
We need to improve the relationships between the Police and the communities they serve. 
 
We need to work to improve the morale of SAPS members, many of whom are battling heavy workloads, insufficient resources and outdated systems. 
 
Even as the SAPS budget has increased over the past ten years, the reality is that the number of police personnel has been declining while the country’s population has been growing.
 
The resources of the Police are stretched extremely thin. 
 
This means that we must work better and smarter by using existing resources more effectively. 
 
We know that communities are the most potent resource for fighting crime. 
 
Crimes happen in communities and criminals are often known to communities. 
 
From this Summit we need a clear plan on how to better involve communities in crime prevention and detection, and on harnessing the potential of CPFs in line with relevant legislation and regulations. 
 
Citizens must be empowered to actively participate in crime prevention efforts through collaboration, awareness and community-driven initiatives to create safer neighbourhoods. 
 
This can no longer be seen as an add-on. It is critical to an effective policing strategy. 
 
Forging partnerships with other stakeholders, such as business, is equally important. 
 
We have seen the value of the support of the private sector, whether it is by supporting CPFs, resourcing victim support centres or donating equipment and services. 
 
We welcome the progress made through the partnership between Government and business, which has focused on key interventions to strengthen our crime-fighting capabilities.
 
We need to build on existing best practice and develop sustainable cooperation models that deliver measurable results. 
 
A holistic approach to policing includes deepening collaboration with other Government departments, such as the Department of Social Development.
 
It includes deepening cooperation with community leaders and community-based organisations that have the capacity to tackle some of the social causes of crime.
 
Data plays a pivotal role in policing and law-enforcement. And we need to apply a socio-economic lens when analysing such data. 
 
The data may tell us, for example, about a community with a high prevalence of housebreaking and robbery, in which substance abuse is also rife. 
 
Understanding the connections revealed by this data should inform the approach to policing in that community. 
 
There is ample data on the linkages between alcohol abuse and the prevalence of gender-based violence. 
 
A holistic policing approach would, for example, need to involve working with local authorities to enforce municipal by-laws for establishments selling alcohol. 
 
We need to harness modern technologies to support crime-fighting. 
 
We therefore welcome the focus of this Summit on exploring the role of technology in modern policing, investigation and intelligence. 
 
Technology is particularly crucial when analysing crime trends and patterns.
 
It is also valuable in empowering citizens.
 
As part of facilitating access to SAPS services, it is encouraging that discussions are planned for how to leverage innovative digital platforms such as mobile apps, online reporting systems and virtual communication channels to improve the public’s interaction with the Police. 
 
To turn the tide against crime, we need better collaboration among the different agencies in the law-enforcement space.
 
There is a proliferation of organised crime in South Africa, including the manufacture of illicit drugs, kidnapping for ransom and money laundering. 
 
This is taking place alongside a growth in illegal mining, extortion in the construction sector, and the theft of public infrastructure.
 
As much as the specialised police units devoted to these particular crimes continue to register progress, they heavily rely on actionable intelligence and traditional policing and detective work.
 
That is why we need to deepen collaboration between law-enforcement agencies to ensure better coordination and information and data sharing. 
 
Corruption is a scourge that has left no aspect of society untouched, including the SAPS. 
 
Alongside measures to protect whistleblowers, implement the National Anti-Corruption Strategy and strengthen accountability, we have to urgently look at strengthening the fundamentals of policing.
 
It is not enough to demonstrate that we are prosecuting SAPS members guilty of corruption. We have to instil a culture of honesty and integrity in the Police.
 
It is our expectation that this Summit will devote the necessary attention to promoting ethical behaviour, accountability and measures to rebuild confidence in law enforcement.
 
Respect for the rule of law and of the authority of the State is a cardinal priority for this Summit. 
 
Instilling a culture of ethics forms part of wider efforts to professionalise the SAPS. 
 
This includes programmes to attract the right calibre of candidates to the SAPS through a rigorous selection process, as well as providing opportunities for training, education and career development.
 
This landmark Summit has much to consider and many issues to address. 
 
If the SAPS is to fulfil its crucial mandate, we have to emerge from these few days with a clear plan on how to address the systemic deficiencies that are negatively impacting policing. 
 
As a country we owe the SAPS our full support. 
 
As Government we remain committed to turning the tide against crime and to making our communities safer. 
 
It is our hope that the recommendations emerging from this summit translate into deeper collaboration, more effective methods and a promising future for policing in South Africa.
 
I thank you.

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Address by President Cyril Ramaphosa at the 2025 Policing Summit, Emperor’s Palace, Ekurhuleni
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Programme Director,
Minister of Police, Mr Senzo Mchunu,
Premier of Gauteng, Mr Panyaza Lesufi,
Ministers and Deputy Ministers,
Chairperson of the Parliamentary Portfolio Committee on Police, Mr Ian Cameron, 
National Police Commissioner, General Fannie Masemola,
Deputy National Commissioners, Provincial and Divisional Commissioners,
Senior Officers,
Representatives of Muncipalities and Municipal Police Departments,
Chairperson of the National Community Police Consultative Forum, Ms Francina Lucas,
Representatives of Community Policing Forums,
Representatives of POPCRU and SAPU,
Representatives of civil society,
Guests,
Ladies and Gentlemen, 
 
Allow me to congratulate the Ministry of Police for convening this critical summit.
 
Safeguarding our nation’s safety and security requires that we are proactive, innovative and solutions-oriented in our approach. 
 
As a frontline service, the police interface with our communities daily. 
 
As such, the police need to be guided by the Batho Pele principles of high service standards, consultation, equal access to services, and treating citizens with respect, dignity and empathy. 
 
The SAPS mission is to investigate and prevent crime and ensure that offenders are brought to justice; to counter threats to community safety and security; and importantly, to participate in efforts to address the root causes of crime. 
 
Crime is both a cause and a symptom. 
 
It is a cause of insecurity and instability in communities. It weakens the social fabric. 
 
Crime has a direct impact on the economy. It discourages investment, disrupts business activity and leads to increased security costs for companies. 
 
Crime is also a symptom of wider problems in a society. 
 
Poverty and inequality, unemployment, lack of opportunity, patriarchy and misogyny, and broken family structures are just some of the issues that contribute to crime and criminality. 
 
Addressing crime without understanding its root causes is like a doctor treating a patient for a fever without diagnosing the underlying illness. 
 
It is therefore encouraging that this summit has as one of its key objectives adopting a more holistic approach to law-enforcement, encompassing not just the police but the entire policing system. 
 
It is also encouraging that this summit brings together stakeholders from the safety and security establishment, communities and civil society, business, the interfaith sector, labour and other sectors. 
 
Just as crime is an all-of-society problem, overcoming crime must be an all-of-society effort.
 
In doing so, we must marshall our full support behind the hardworking men and women of the South African Police Service. 
 
The policing terrain of today is complex and multi-faceted. 
 
The police strive to fulfill their mandate in the context of emerging threats. 
 
These threats include transnational organised crime, illegal mining, extortion syndicates, the theft of economic infrastructure, money laundering and terror financing. 
 
And yet, even in this extremely challenging environment, the South African Police Service continues to register successes in fighting crime in its various operations. 
 
To build on these successes, we need to restore public trust and faith in the police. 
 
We need to improve the relationships between the police and the communities they serve. 
 
We need to work to improve the morale of SAPS members, many of whom are battling heavy workloads, insufficient resources and outdated systems. 
 
Even as the SAPS budget has increased over the past ten years, the reality is that the number of police personnel has been declining while the country’s population has been growing.
 
The resources of the police are stretched extremely thin. 
 
This means that we must work better and smarter by using existing resources more effectively. 
 
We know that communities are the most potent resource for fighting crime. 
 
Crimes happen in communities and criminals are often known to communities. 
 
From this summit we need a clear plan on how to better involve communities in crime prevention and detection, and on harnessing the potential of CPFs in line with relevant legislation and regulations. 
 
Citizens must be empowered to actively participate in crime prevention efforts through collaboration, awareness and community-driven initiatives to create safer neighbourhoods. 
 
This can no longer be seen as an add-on. It is critical to an effective policing strategy. 
 
Forging partnerships with other stakeholders, such as business, is equally important. 
 
We have seen the value of the support of the private sector, whether it is by supporting CPFs, resourcing victim support centres or donating equipment and services. 
 
We welcome the progress made through the partnership between government and business, which has focused on key interventions to strengthen our crime-fighting capabilities.
 
We need to build on existing best practice and develop sustainable cooperation models that deliver measurable results. 
 
A holistic approach to policing includes deepening collaboration with other government departments, such as the Department of Social Development.
 
It includes deepening cooperation with community leaders and community-based organisations that have the capacity to tackle some of the social causes of crime.
 
Data plays a pivotal role in policing and law-enforcement. And we need to apply a socio-economic lens when analysing such data. 
 
The data may tell us, for example, about a community with a high prevalence of housebreaking and robbery, in which substance abuse is also rife. 
 
Understanding the connections revealed by this data should inform the approach to policing in that community. 
 
There is ample data on the linkages between alcohol abuse and the prevalence of gender-based violence. 
 
A holistic policing approach would, for example, need to involve working with local authorities to enforce municipal by-laws for establishments selling alcohol. 
 
We need to harness modern technologies to support crime-fighting. 
 
We therefore welcome the focus of this summit on exploring the role of technology in modern policing, investigation and intelligence. 
 
Technology is particularly crucial when analysing crime trends and patterns.
 
It is also valuable in empowering citizens.
 
As part of facilitating access to SAPS services, it is encouraging that discussions are planned for how to leverage innovative digital platforms such as mobile apps, online reporting systems and virtual communication channels to improve the public’s interaction with the police. 
 
To turn the tide against crime, we need better collaboration among the different agencies in the law-enforcement space.
 
There is a proliferation of organised crime in South Africa, including the manufacture of illicit drugs, kidnapping for ransom and money laundering. 
 
This is taking place alongside a growth in illegal mining, extortion in the construction sector, and the theft of public infrastructure.
 
As much as the specialised police units devoted to these particular crimes continue to register progress, they heavily rely on actionable intelligence and traditional policing and detective work.
 
That is why we need to deepen collaboration between law-enforcement agencies to ensure better coordination and information and data sharing. 
 
Corruption is a scourge that has left no aspect of society untouched, including the SAPS. 
 
Alongside measures to protect whistleblowers, implement the National Anti-Corruption Strategy and strengthen accountability, we have to urgently look at strengthening the fundamentals of policing.
 
It is not enough to demonstrate that we are prosecuting SAPS members guilty of corruption. We have to instil a culture of honesty and integrity in the police.
 
It is our expectation that this summit will devote the necessary attention to promoting ethical behaviour, accountability and measures to rebuild confidence in law enforcement.
 
Respect for the rule of law and of the authority of the state is a cardinal priority for this summit. 
 
Instilling a culture of ethics forms part of wider efforts to professionalise the SAPS. 
 
This includes programmes to attract the right calibre of candidates to the SAPS through a rigorous selection process, as well as providing opportunities for training, education and career development.
 
This landmark summit has much to consider and many issues to address. 
 
If the SAPS is to fulfil its crucial mandate, we have to emerge from these few days with a clear plan on how to address the systemic deficiencies that are negatively impacting policing. 
 
As a country we owe the SAPS our full support. 
 
As government we remain committed to turning the tide against crime and to making our communities safer. 
 
It is our hope that the recommendations emerging from this summit translate into deeper collaboration, more effective methods and a promising future for policing in South Africa.
 
I thank you.
 

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Media accreditation for the International Association of Women Judges Conference
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President Cyril Ramaphosa will on Wednesday, 09 April 2025, address the International Association of Women Judges Conference (IAWJ) to be hosted in Cape Town, from 09 to 12 April 2025.

The Conference will be convened under the theme “Resilience: Women in Leadership to End Gender-Based Violence & Femicide”, and will bring together approximately 900 Judges, Magistrates, legal professionals and policymakers from across the world to address the global scourge of Gender-Based violence and femicide through judicial leadership and activisim.        

The South African Chapter of the International Association of Women Judges (SAC-IAWJ) was established two decades ago in August 2004 and is a regional representative of the IAWJ. 

Its membership comprises 350 female and male Judges and Magistrates, with legal professionals eligible to join the Association as friends of the Chapter.
                                                     
It is advised that only bona fide media practitioners may apply for accreditation.            
    
All fields in the media accreditation form must be completed. Incomplete forms will not be accepted. The accreditation form is available at https://mrs.gcis.gov.za/  
                 
The deadline for media accreditation is 09 April 2025 at 08h00. The deadline will not be extended, and late applications will not be accepted.

Enquiries on the media accreditation process:

GCIS: Themba Thobela – Themba@gcis.gov.za 

The Presidency: Sydwell Mabasa - Sydwell@presidency.gov.za 

Office of the Chief Justice (OCJ): Lusanda Ntuli - LNtuli@judiciary.org.za 

 

Media enquiries: Vincent Magwenya, Spokesperson to the President, on Media@presidency.gov.za

Issued by: The Presidency
Cape Town

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President Ramaphosa to address 17th IAWJ Biennial Women Judges Conference
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President Cyril Ramaphosa will on Wednesday, 09 April 2025, deliver the keynote address at the 17th Biennial Conference of the International Association of Women Judges (IAWJ).

The Conference takes place in Cape Town from 9 to 12 April 2025.

The Conference is convened by the South African Chapter of the International Association of Women Judges (IAWJ) and is organised under the theme “Resilience: Women in Leadership to End Gender-Based Violence & Femicide”.

The event will be attended by around 900 judges, magistrates, legal professionals and policymakers from across the world to address the global scourge of gender-based violence (GBV) and femicide through judicial leadership and activism.

Global leaders and subject matter experts will deliberate on issues aligned to gender equality, judicial reforms, and women’s leadership in the global legal fraternity. 

This year’s Conference is the first to be hosted in South Africa under the leadership of a female Chief Justice of the Republic of South Africa, Mandisa Maya, who is also the IAWJ Vice-President. 

The President’s engagement will take place as follows:

Date: Wednesday, 09 April 2025
Time: 11h00
Venue: Cape Town International Convention Centre


Media enquiries: Vincent Magwenya, Spokesperson to the President, on Media@presidency.gov.za

Issued by: The Presidency
Pretoria

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President Ramaphosa appoints Professor Mariana Mazzucato to G20 Taskforce
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President Cyril Ramaphosa has appointed Professor Mariana Mazzucato as Technical Expert to South Africa’s G20 Presidency and his Special Presidential Representative to Taskforce 1: Inclusive Economic Growth, Industrialisation, Employment, and Reduced Inequality.

Professor Mazzucato will also contribute to Taskforce 3: Artificial Intelligence, Data Governance, and Innovation for Sustainable Development.

She will also support the Sherpa Track: Trade and Investment Working Group, and the Finance Track Sustainable Finance Working Group, and International Financial Architecture Working Group.

Professor Mazzucato is a member of President Ramaphosa’s Economic Advisory Council (PEAC) since 2019, advising on areas such as green industrial strategy, state capacity, and reform of state-owned enterprises.

In 2024, she co-chaired the Group of Experts for Brazil's G20 Task Force for the Global Mobilisation Against Climate Change (TF-CLIMA).

This appointment underscores South Africa’s commitment to leveraging its leadership in the G20 to shape a more inclusive and sustainable global economy.

Professor Mazzucato, internationally recognised for her work on rethinking the state, green growth, mission-oriented innovation and public value creation, brings critical expertise to advancing South Africa’s goals on green industrialisation, inclusive growth, and long-term structural transformation.

Under President Ramaphosa's leadership and the G20 theme of "Solidarity. Equality. Sustainability.”, South Africa aims to lead global discussions on these key issues, advocating for policies that foster resilient economic development, particularly in developing countries.

South Africa’s G20 Presidency is committed to advancing a global economic framework that supports green growth, economic resilience, and social equity.

As 2025 marks what President Ramaphosa, along with President Lula da Silva of Brazil and Prime Minister Sánchez of Spain, has called "a pivotal year for multilateralism" with three major global gatherings – the G20 Summit in Johannesburg, the Financing for Development Conference in Seville and COP30 in Belém.

 

Media enquiries:

For The Presidency

Vincent Magwenya, Spokesperson to the President, on media@presidency.gov.za

For Prof Mazzucato

Sol Hallam, Communications Manager: Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose, on +44 7503 575 719 / iipp-dir-comms@ucl.ac.uk

Issued by: The Presidency
Pretoria

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Deputy President Mashatile to deliver remarks at the Ahmed Kathrada Legacy Business Breakfast
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At the invitation of the Ahmed Kathrada Foundation, Deputy President Shipokosa Paulus Mashatile will tomorrow, Monday, 7 April 2025, attend and deliver remarks at the inaugural Ahmed Kathrada Legacy Business Breakfast series to be held in Illovo, Gauteng Province.

The Ahmed Kathrada Foundation, formed in 2008, is an organisation aimed at deepening non-racialism in post-apartheid South Africa through the promotion of values, rights and principles enshrined in the Freedom Charter and the Constitution of the Republic of South Africa.

Deputy President Mashatile attends the event as a champion of social cohesion and nation building activities. The Ahmed Kathrada Legacy Business Breakfast series seeks to provide a platform for engaging high-level executives, thought leaders, industry professionals, and decision-makers in meaningful discussions on business, leadership, and innovation, as well as honour the legacy of Ahmed Kathrada’s contributions to leadership and justice.

The Deputy President regards this engagement as an important platform that will provide insights into the strengths and challenges facing our nation with a view to sharing solutions that will not only strengthen social cohesion but move the country forward for the benefit of all citizens.

Details of the event are as follows:

Date: Monday, 7 April 2025
Time: 08h00
Venue: Illovo, Gauteng (virtual link to be provided)

 

Media enquiries: Mr Keith Khoza, Acting Spokesperson to the Deputy President on 066 195 8840.

Issued by: The Presidency
Pretoria

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President Ramaphosa to address the Police Summit
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President Cyril Ramaphosa will open and address the Police Summit on Tuesday, 08 April 2025, at the Emperors Palace Convention Centre in Gauteng Province.

The inaugural Police Summit takes place under the theme “Efficiency in Action: Optimising South Africa's Policing Potential", aligning with Chapter 12 of the National Development Plan (NDP) on Building Safer Communities.

The Summit will address the high levels of crime in South Africa by reflecting on current policing approaches and developing more effective methods for the South African Police Service (SAPS).

To achieve the 2030 NDP objective, the three-day Summit will focus on enhancing the efficiency and effectiveness of SAPS in combating crime. It will cover four broad themes with related breakaway discussions, focusing on proven policing strategies that have reduced crime and enhanced community safety; adaptation to dynamic changes in modern policing; the transformative role of technology in modern policing, investigation and intelligence; and building a skilled and professional workforce.

The Police Summit will have in attendance experts and practitioners who will have the opportunity to share critical views, ideas, and build networks for advancing social justice. It will facilitate engagement with various stakeholders, learning from good practices, and participating in discussions on innovative solutions and best practices.

President Ramaphosa will address the opening of the Police Summit as follows: 

Date: Tuesday, 08 April 2025
Time: 10h00
Venue: Emperors Palace Convention Centre, Gauteng Province  

Media enquiries and registration for the Police Summit can be directed to Brigadier Athlenda Mathe on +27 (82) 040-8808


For The Presidency media queries: Vincent Magwenya, Spokesperson to the President, on Media@presidency.gov.za

Issued by: The Presidency
Pretoria

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Speech by Deputy Minister in The Presidency, Nonceba Mhlauli, at the Seminar in the University of Zululand
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The Vice Chancellor of the University of Zululand,
Programme Director, Ms Mthembu,
Prof Shokane,
Prof Adetiba,
Prof Okpome,
Students,

Ladies and gentlemen,

Introduction

I wish to start off by admitting that this is certainly not a very easy topic to talk about, as it is in my view asking that we speculate about the future of the Government that I am part off.

It’s not easy that I may have my own biases and biases by their nature make at times to be subjective than being objective. I do however hope to give an objective analysis of the future of the GNU, in relation to its future prospects as outlined through the request you sent.

As we all know that, last year's National and Provincial Elections produced election results that forced all parties to work together to form a Government of South Africa that transcends political and ideological divides.

Coalition governments are formed when multiple political parties collaborate to create a majority in a Parliamentary system, are a common feature in many democracies around the world. These governments arise when no single party secures an outright majority, necessitating alliances to ensure governance.

The probability of success for coalition governments is influenced by a myriad of factors, including political compatibility, leadership dynamics, policy coherence, and external pressures. Today, we are here explore these factors and evaluates the likelihood of success for the Government of National Unity.

In 2022/2023 before the elections, already there was some form expectation that there might not be an outright majority, we saw the Democratic Alliance already coordinating parties, referred to as a moon shoot pact, and within the then ruling party, such discussion had already taken place, in particular reference to stabilising the local government sphere of Government.

Immediately, after the elections, various political parties with different ideological outlook agreed to come together to form Government, being binding together by the Statement of Intent.

The Democratic Alliance with the ANC were the first to sign the Statement of Intent, that was anchored on the support of the South African constitution, the bill of rights, inclusive economic growth, lowering the cost of living and creating employment amongst many points of convergence.

Political Compatibility

One of the primary determinants of a coalition government's success is the political compatibility between the participating parties. The Statement of Intent is a rallying point of all parties in the GNU, although, we cannot say that all these parties are politically compatible.

We know that it becomes very easy when parties share similar ideologies and policy goals, the coalition is more likely to function smoothly. However with, the GNU parties, there is diversity of views, especially on issues of redress, BBBEE, NHI and recently with the BELA.

These diverse views shows for instance, coalitions formed between the parties in the GNU do not necessarily have a shared economic or social policies at times agreement become cumbersome as is the case with the budget, agreement on legislative agendas, is not easy and there is constant debates thus increasing the potential for conflict.

These debates and contestation do not necessarily mean that the future of the GNU is bleak, because there is more that unites these parties than just narrow political interests.

The commitment to the constitution, rule of law, economic growth and all features of the Statement of Intent binds these parties together, however the ideological contestation will not stop and all of us must alive to that reality. 

Leadership Dynamics

The leadership within a coalition government plays a crucial role in its success. Effective leaders who can mediate between parties, manage conflicts, and foster a spirit of cooperation are essential. 

The presence of a strong, charismatic leader who commands respect across party lines can enhance the coalition's stability. However, leadership struggles or power imbalances can lead to friction, undermining the coalition's effectiveness. The ability of leaders to negotiate and compromise is often a decisive factor in the coalition's longevity.

The GNU has set up a clearing house led by the Deputy President to manage and resolve disputes and the leadership of the ANC, through President Ramaphosa and John Steenhuisen, consistently meet to resolve some issues outside of the Clearing House.

Policy Coherence

The success of the GNU also hinges on its ability to present a coherent policy agenda. A well-defined, unified policy platform can help maintain public support and ensure smooth governance.

The Medium Term Development Plan is currently being finalised and will soon be tabled in Parliament. It must be noted that the plan itself will be subject to contestation internally within the GNU.

Coalitions in general that fail to articulate clear policies may face challenges in implementing their agenda, leading to public dissatisfaction and potential electoral losses. The need to balance diverse party interests can complicate policy formulation, but successful coalitions find ways to integrate different perspectives into a cohesive strategy.

External and Internal Pressures

External factors, such as economic conditions, social movements, and international relations, can significantly impact the success of coalition governments. Economic crises, for example, can strain coalitions as parties may have differing approaches to fiscal policy.

The Budget Vote is just one example of differences on fiscal policy between the DA and the ANC, which resulted in the postponement of the 19 February Budget Speech by the Finance Minister.

Both the two parties, are different policy approaches on international relations, as we all surely know, the DA’s approach on Israeli-Palestine and or Russia-Ukraine conflicts don’t agree.

The ANC has it own historic position of none-alignment and DA’s position is basically pro West. Of course, this position, is shared by more than one parties within the GNU.

Similarly, social movements and political parties advocating for change can test a coalition's ability to respond effectively. International pressures, such as diplomatic conflicts as is the case with the South Africa-USA or trade negotiations, may also influence a coalition's stability.

The DA federal chairperson, Ms Zille for example has led a delegation to meet Donald Trump’s administration on the recent diplomatic spats, which resulted in our ambassador, Embrahim Rasool being declared none desirable just last week.

The biggest two political formations the Democratic Alliance and African National Congress have their own dynamics, and both will soon be going to their internal elective conferences, and the new leadership may obviously want to chart their own path and direction, which may have an effect on GNU.

In both these parties, you do get a sense of some of dissatisfaction about certain things about the GNU. Recently, for instance, the Sunday Times, did make a claim that some within the DA are not happy about Steenhuisen.

That being said, the internal contestation, may just be about internal power struggles within the two most important parties within the GNU, of which even the contenders are about consolidating their own power but no real policy shift.

In any case, jostling for political power happens within homogeneous and none homogeneous groups. I am not in anyway downplaying internal power contestations within these two political parties within the GNU.  

Conclusion

The probability of success for the Government of National Unity is contingent upon a complex interplay of factors, including political compatibility, leadership dynamics, and policy coherence, external and internal pressures.

While the Government of National Unity has and will continue to face significant challenges, but it also offer opportunities for diverse representation and collaborative governance. It will certainly not be an easy coalition.

The ability of GNU partners to work together effectively, navigate differences, and respond to external challenges ultimately determines their success. As such, the probability of success for coalition governments varies widely, depending on the specific context and dynamics at play.

In own context, the biggest political actors within the GNU, want to keep their own identity, maintain their own support base and not to be weakened, while pursuing their own historic vision on the future of South Africa, will continue to contest each other, but the Statement of Intent, guided by the earlier outlined principles will likely sustain the GNU for the next five years.

I thank you.

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